Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 57.787711 65.885156 74.198041 83.335530 93.064112 103.081686 114.145947
2025-12-21 43.931103 55.261348 67.480988 81.494189 96.985002 113.465007 132.206309
2025-12-28 38.621379 52.073548 67.077273 84.756740 104.751916 126.431144 151.490781
2026-01-04 33.787620 48.667627 65.787743 86.450606 110.278387 136.520182 167.254354
2026-01-11 28.774281 44.418403 62.996764 85.949985 112.907825 143.025474 178.716408
2026-01-18 24.635468 40.770243 60.532947 85.488974 115.288763 149.005651 189.370949
2026-01-25 21.572365 38.154526 59.056765 85.971325 118.574400 155.860990 200.880395
2026-02-01 18.444882 35.121775 56.804701 85.294472 120.308931 160.780267 210.050337
2026-02-08 15.975146 32.728886 55.170716 85.213843 122.621827 166.266693 219.783960
2026-02-15 13.502605 30.058305 52.973223 84.260776 123.743971 170.247941 227.681404
2026-02-22 12.046474 28.746179 52.482762 85.395483 127.356537 177.131285 238.932224
2026-03-01 10.865156 27.731260 52.311745 86.876885 131.349504 184.435232 250.654476
2026-03-08 9.071552 25.532064 50.380475 85.994010 132.374496 188.193021 258.241528
2026-03-15 7.267283 23.050681 47.878016 84.226163 132.191964 190.426520 263.973505
2026-03-22 6.920666 23.152504 49.141644 87.528481 138.457671 200.508553 279.074644
2026-03-29 6.240671 22.534943 49.277783 89.256334 142.682058 208.081500 291.166649
2026-04-05 5.156392 20.950765 47.843631 88.746099 143.964970 212.002879 298.842453
2026-04-12 4.217604 19.485749 46.492108 88.276955 145.246967 215.884077 306.440091
2026-04-19 3.562286 18.514285 45.854751 88.767921 147.752790 221.261263 315.834042
2026-04-26 2.807290 17.121866 44.438432 88.078946 148.654152 224.604636 322.731808
2026-05-03 2.242317 16.050898 43.478583 87.996869 150.324508 228.885437 330.754298
2026-05-10 1.657307 14.709032 41.958288 87.026646 150.758153 231.576193 336.805816
2026-05-17 1.381085 14.217633 41.887149 88.181768 154.042648 237.862853 347.268989